THE OFFICIAL HOLLYWOOD TOP 35 #10

to Jan 7/18

Welcome to the first OHT35 of the new year! Having a semester break allows a chance to look very closely at every team's record. In doing so, and in seeing the glob of teams in the OUA West, after going over the numbers numerous times it became apparent that the categories needed more balance. Hopefully there will be fewer changes between categories going down the stretch. After all was said and done, 6 teams went down, 4 teams went up, and we have a new #1 in the rankings. And that comes after they suffered quite an upset loss.

THE SCORES:

Exhibition Games
Dec 09 N.A.I.T. (ACAC) 0 Alberta 4
Dec 10 Poland National Team 1 New Brunswick 4
Dec 13 US All-Stars 3 Team Canada Jr. 0
Dec 14 US All-Stars 4 Team Canada Jr. 3
Dec 28 Guelph 3 Lakehead 2 (ot)
Dec 29 Guelph 2 Lakehead 4
Dec 29 Ryerson 5 New Brunswick 6
Dec 30 Calgary 1 Alberta 4
Dec 30 Ryerson 2 New Brunswick 8
Dec 30 Windsor 2 Miami of Ohio (NCAA) 8

Regular Season Games
Jan 03 Saint Mary's 7 Moncton 1
Jan 04 Toronto 1 Guelph 3
Jan 05 Alberta 4 Manitoba 5 (ot)
Jan 05 Mount Royal 8 Regina 2
Jan 05 Saskatchewan 3 Lethbridge 2
Jan 05 U.B.C. 3 Calgary 2 (ot)
Jan 05 Moncton 4 Acadia 7
Jan 05 St. F.X. 2 U.P.E.I. 3 (so)
Jan 05 Brock 4 York 2
Jan 05 Concordia 4 U.Q.T.R. 5 (ot)
Jan 05 Ottawa 2 McGill 3
Jan 05 R.M.C. 2 Carleton 4
Jan 05 Ryerson 7 Laurier 1
Jan 05 U.O.I.T. 2 Queen's 3
Jan 05 Waterloo 1 W. Ontario 5
Jan 05 Windsor 1 Lakehead 3
Jan 06 Alberta 1 Manitoba 3
Jan 06 Mount Royal 4 Regina 2
Jan 06 Saskatchewan 2 Lethbridge 4
Jan 06 U.B.C. 2 Calgary 4
Jan 06 Acadia 4 Saint Mary's 2
Jan 06 Dalhousie 5 U.P.E.I. 2
Jan 06 St. F.X. 5 New Brunswick 2
Jan 06 Guelph 2 Brock 1
Jan 06 Laurentian 2 Nipissing 1
Jan 06 Laurier 3 Waterloo 2
Jan 06 McGill 3 Carleton 2
Jan 06 Ottawa 0 Concordia 2
Jan 06 R.M.C. 4 U.Q.T.R. 5
Jan 06 W. Ontario 4 Ryerson 3 (ot)
Jan 06 Windsor 4 Lakehead 5 (ot)
Jan 06 U.O.I.T. 0 Queen's 3
Jan 07 Dalhousie 0 New Brunswick 3
Jan 07 York 3 Toronto 4

THE TABLE:



* indicates total includes a tie game
Conf. indicates overall conference record
Con-x indicates exhibition record within conference
CIS-x indicates exhibition record within CIS but outside conference
CIS indicates regular season and exhibition record against CIS teams
Other indicates record against non-CIS teams
Total indicates record against all teams
∞ In the official standings, Calgary were penalized 2 wins against UBC, a win and OTL against Lethbridge, and an OTL against Alberta for use of an ineligible player.




One useful rankings measure at this time of the season is the “average of averages” method. This system becomes more reliable as the number of games played against each category increases. That is, one game can have a dramatic effect on your record against a given category. This time, there were only a few necessary changes to the result of this method:

1. Lethbridge is ahead of UBC in the CW rankings and therefore jump ahead despite their lower table score.

2. Same thing in the AUS where Moncton jumps ahead of Dalhousie.

3. Though not in the same conference, UPEI jumps ahead of Regina due to a better record and a somewhat stronger strength-of-schedule.

Here's the table:




I ran the numbers based on the prior rankings and applying the new results. That caused a change to the rankings, which in turn altered the categories, and so on and so on until I wound up here.

At the end, we arrived at what should closely reflect the final comparative rankings skew:



Since there is just one non-conference game left on the schedule (RMC v Army), here is the inter-conference table:




@USPORTS_Hockey
@USPORTSca
@CanadaWest
@umbisons